Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 359.790833 407.824442 461.029148 524.530371 598.514315 682.295128 784.782616
2025-11-23 283.531357 345.401645 420.002565 517.360170 642.204873 798.469551 1011.304806
2025-11-30 244.937318 312.915906 399.655105 519.964092 684.911986 906.682889 1233.533928
2025-12-07 213.571962 283.076748 375.768593 510.698107 705.943008 984.327921 1422.682817
2025-12-14 191.475238 261.844476 359.298908 507.221679 731.647541 1068.841223 1632.674820
2025-12-21 169.044667 237.143868 334.422892 487.298138 728.651990 1107.813145 1775.656553
2025-12-28 160.140454 230.612500 334.551695 503.915984 782.754549 1242.155680 2098.256293
2026-01-04 153.299590 226.207227 337.003833 523.827514 843.991091 1396.350137 2484.374783
2026-01-11 143.477053 216.147038 329.441726 526.200231 875.373849 1502.756247 2801.443168
2026-01-18 132.230935 202.762052 315.158830 515.401581 881.747140 1563.968636 3040.169778
2026-01-25 122.474223 190.904353 302.197028 505.264030 887.606610 1624.309608 3288.009375
2026-02-01 118.078545 187.433005 302.819293 519.076545 939.718581 1782.434849 3782.152494
2026-02-08 111.129061 179.273253 294.961882 517.064309 961.979642 1885.649625 4180.339774
2026-02-15 104.120253 170.479792 285.260842 510.600731 974.612830 1970.911104 4557.113050
2026-02-22 99.141327 164.803774 280.567848 513.126800 1005.889522 2101.876944 5082.430315
2026-03-01 93.005173 156.598373 270.547229 504.005469 1010.996883 2173.686914 5467.765649
2026-03-08 88.174818 150.393347 263.719022 500.582128 1028.068071 2276.535007 5967.901192
2026-03-15 81.731827 140.791863 249.728693 480.962525 1006.091341 2280.117872 6176.718419
2026-03-22 80.120726 140.052999 252.683574 497.327012 1069.472336 2510.534493 7152.501033
2026-03-29 78.929425 140.003417 256.948732 516.933104 1143.390594 2783.123662 8358.329037
2026-04-05 75.941656 136.286342 253.581189 519.269292 1175.181880 2946.986365 9247.872245
2026-04-12 71.852949 130.159549 244.864692 508.636667 1172.747468 3013.500169 9807.057745
2026-04-19 68.122401 124.516825 236.755208 498.654442 1170.794158 3081.439596 10396.962695